After Costsresearch log
Reference

Data sources

Every dataset behind this site: provider, coverage, what it was used for and its known problems. All of it is public or available with a free account.

30 September 2026 · 5 min read

All coverage dates are what was on disk in September 2026, in UTC. Almost everything is free and public. The broker data needs a free demo account and a registered API application.

Crypto prices

Provider Data Coverage Used for Known issues
Binance public data archive 1-minute and hourly spot candles, perpetual funding rates 2020 – Aug 2026 (1-minute BTC/ETH/SOL for Kronos from Sep 2024) Kronos, classic rules, dips, patterns, indicator atlas, funding filters, direction model Coins listed today only (survivorship); USDT pairs stand in for the USDC pairs we would trade; a change from millisecond to microsecond timestamps in 2025 had to be handled
Bybit EU public API BTC/USDC and ETH/USDC candles 1-minute from Jun 2026; daily for the live bot Live bot exits, venue premium study Thin spot order book
Bitstamp public API BTC/USD daily candles Aug 2011 – Sep 2026 Stablecoin signal, exits, calendar tests, direction model The longest Bitcoin history in the project
Coinbase Exchange API BTC-USD and ETH-USD daily candles 2015/2016 – Sep 2026 Direction model (Ether price, Coinbase premium) 300 candles per request
Deribit public API DVOL implied-volatility index, BTC and ETH Mar 2021 – Sep 2026 Direction model Short history

On-chain and stablecoins

Provider Data Coverage Used for Known issues
DefiLlama Total circulating supply of dollar stablecoins Oct 2018 – Sep 2026 Stablecoin signal, direction model 56 coverage jumps of more than ±3% in a day between 2018 and 2022, up to +47%; cleaned against CoinMetrics
CoinMetrics Community API MVRV, active addresses, exchange flows and reserves, hash rate, issuance, fees; USDT and USDC supply BTC from 2010, ETH from 2015, stablecoins from 2017 Direction model, independent stablecoin check Exchange attribution is revised retroactively; its daily timestamps are one day off from DefiLlama’s
TronGrid USDT issue events and treasury outflows on Tron Apr 2019 – Sep 2026 Stablecoin confirmation tests Treasury wallets chosen by hand; issuance goes to the treasury first
Etherscan (free key) USDC mint and burn events on Ethereum Dec 2017 – Sep 2026 Combined flow signal Reconstructing USDT flows on Ethereum failed and was not used

Attention, sentiment and calendar

Provider Data Coverage Used for Known issues
Wikimedia pageviews API Daily views of the English Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency and Ethereum articles Jul 2015 – Sep 2026 Direction model, attention hypotheses History starts in mid-2015
alternative.me Crypto Fear & Greed index Feb 2018 – Sep 2026 Sentiment filters, direction model Used from the next day only
Open-Meteo archive Sunshine, cloud, temperature and rain in six financial centres Aug 2011 – Sep 2026 Weather hypotheses Rate limits
GFZ Potsdam Geomagnetic Ap index, sunspots, solar flux Aug 2011 – Sep 2026 Geomagnetism hypotheses –
holidays and ephem libraries Holidays in five countries, Moon phase computed Calendar and Moon hypotheses –
News headlines, scored by a language model 2,480 crypto headlines from July 2026 Jul – Sep 2026 News reaction study Only headlines after the model’s training cut-off were scored, so it could not remember the price reaction

Macro, rates and positioning

Provider Data Coverage Used for Known issues
FRED Fed balance sheet, Treasury account, reverse repos, M2, 10-year real yield, NFCI, 2-year Treasury yield, OECD 3-month interbank and call-money rates for 16 currencies from 1959–2003 depending on the series Direction model, carry, yield momentum, FX predictor lab Latest revised vintage only; publication lags applied
Yahoo Finance Nasdaq, S&P 500, VIX, dollar index, 10-year yield, gold 2018 – Sep 2026 Macro filters, direction model Unofficial endpoint
CFTC Traders in Financial Futures Weekly positioning in CME Bitcoin and eight currency futures 2006 (FX) and 2018 (BTC) – Sep 2026 Direction model, weekly FX study Tuesday positions published on Friday; lagged accordingly
Central banks and ministries 2-year yields: Bundesbank, Bank of England, Japan’s Ministry of Finance, Bank of Canada, Riksbank, Reserve Bank of Australia, Swiss National Bank from 1974–2013 depending on the country Yield-gap momentum Australia only from Sep 2013, Switzerland ends Jul 2025, no free history for New Zealand and Norway
Federal Reserve Board Scheduled FOMC meeting dates 2000–2026 FOMC test –

Currency prices and costs

Provider Data Coverage Used for Known issues
Dukascopy public datafeed Hourly bid candles for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY; EUR/USD ticks with best bid and ask sizes Hourly 2020 – Aug 2026; ticks on 44 sampled days, Mar – Sep 2026 First-round FX rules; order-book imbalance test Slow server, so every third weekday and 07–18 UTC were sampled
cTrader Open API (broker demo) 1-minute bid bars for nine instruments; daily bars for 16 USD pairs; EUR/USD bid and ask ticks; spreads by hour; swap rates; order-book depth stream 1-minute from Jan 2016, daily from 2000, 8.7 million ticks Mar – Sep 2026, depth from 29 Sep 2026 FX grids, indicator atlas, carry and daily studies, tick scalping, cost model, ladder test Demo feed; ask prices of bars reconstructed from the measured spread profile; a single swap snapshot applied to all years; the demo depth stream is a fixed ladder of sizes

Models

Provider Data Used for Notes
Hugging Face and GitHub Kronos-small and Kronos-base weights and tokenizers, open-source model code Kronos study 512-bar context window; one variant fine-tuned by us on 5-minute crypto bars

Where the bots trade

Venue Use Notes
Bybit EU, demo Daily Bitcoin bot, spot market orders Demo keys only work on the demo server; the bot tracks its own balance
cTrader-connected CFD broker, demo Scalping bot and depth recorder The client refuses the live server

Tried and not used

GDELT news volume and tone (download abandoned), USDT flows on Ethereum (reconstruction unreliable), Australian 2-year yields before 2013 (history file not available), New Zealand and Norwegian 2-year yields (no free source), bank order-flow data (private), retail sentiment histories (no free history).